BBC Weather Europe: Heatwave to exceed 40C on continent by this weekend

BBC Weather’s Tomasz Schafernaker forecast summertime heat for Portugal, Spain and France. But Scandinavia will struggle to reach temperatures higher than 18C due to an Atlantic cold front. The meterologist added that temperatures will continue to rise this weekend.

Mr Schafernaker said: “Lots of hot sunshine across Portugal, Spain and France. We’ll see temperatures in the coming day potentially exceeding 40C. A lot of summertime heat on the way.

“In the northwest of Europe and Scandinavia, it will be a good deal cooler.

“We’re seeing currents of air coming off the Atlantic and along spells of rain.

“In the south of Europe, the coasts of Turkey will be around 33C. Very similar in Greece.

“Sunshine across the Balkans with hot air in Bucharest and temperatures reaching 34C.

“The warm air has spread across Hungary and Germany.

“But a good deal cooler in Sweden and Norway. Oslo will reach only 18C.

“Hot temperatures mid-week and temperatures will rise even further by the weekend.”

It comes as researchers say it is currently impossible to know whether more people contract coronavirus in hot or cold weather.

The arrival of summer in the Northern hemisphere has drawn attention to the question of whether warmer weather might slow the spread of COVID-19.

But new analysis from researchers at the University of Oxford highlights key limitations of available data.

Dr Francois Cohen, study lead author and senior researcher at Oxford’s Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, said: “Our study found several problems with trying to understand the influence of weather using existing data on confirmed COVID-19 cases.

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“The existing data can’t reliably tell us whether warmer weather slows down the spread of Covid-19, as some earlier studies have tried to assess, so we urge both policy makers and the public to act with caution.”

The analysis, published in the Environmental and Resource Economics journal, says there are a number of potential problems with the data.

The main issue, according to the study, is that the weather itself could be influencing the number of tests carried out and who gets tested.

For example, patients suffering from pre-existing diseases could develop Covid-19 unrelated symptoms due to the prevailing weather conditions and hence be selected for Covid-19 testing more frequently than other population groups.

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